5 predictions for the insurance industry this year

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Insurers have always faced the challenge of balancing profitability with protecting their customers' most valuable assets. The devastation caused by the recent Los Angeles fires highlights how quickly risks can escalate, profoundly affecting both communities and insurers.

An aerial image before the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles, CA.
An aerial image before the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles, CA.
Nearmap
An aerial image after the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles, CA.
An aerial image after the Palisades Fire in Los Angeles, CA.
Nearmap

To keep pace with emerging risks, insurers must carefully identify which technologies can truly mitigate risk and reduce losses. Simultaneously, policyholders are increasingly demanding greater transparency, wanting to understand how these tools are used and how they impact their coverage.

Thriving in this environment requires more than waiting for a lull in severe weather. It demands proactive strategies now to safeguard the bottom line when challenging seasons come. The following five trends will shape the year ahead, offering insurers a roadmap to adapt, grow despite climate risks, and deepen trust with policyholders.

1. Insurers will empower policyholders with personalized risk tools

We'll see more insurers offering policyholders AI-powered tools and insights, much like how auto insurers have embraced telematics to help customers monitor driving behavior. In P&C insurance, AI-driven insights, powered by aerial imagery and advanced analytics, will enable insurers to offer personalized risk profiles to help their policyholders mitigate risks. 

For example, a policyholder could log into their insurer's portal to pay their bill and receive a notice: "We've identified overhanging tree branches near your roof. Trimming them now could reduce the risk of storm damage." This proactive approach provides clear, actionable steps to address specific risks before they lead to costly damage. A recent Nearmap survey found 63% of insurers agree consumers value proactive advice from their providers on enhancing the safety and durability of their homes and buildings.

This approach makes insurers proactive partners. It's akin to routine car maintenance—preventing costly breakdowns rather than reacting after they happen. This strategy reduces potential costs for both parties and strengthens trust and loyalty between insurers and their policyholders.

2. Transparency between insurers and insureds will increase

Transparency will become a defining feature of insurer-insured relationships in 2025. As technology grows more advanced, consumers increasingly expect clarity—not just in policy details, but in how risks are assessed and priced.

For instance, insurers can use AI and aerial imagery to identify risks like a deteriorating roof or positive attributes such as well-maintained defensible space. Presenting these tools clearly will help alleviate concerns while showing how they positively impact policyholders. Imagine an insurer informing a policyholder: "You've replaced your roof and cleared defensible space around your home. These updates have lowered your risk, making you eligible for better rates." 

Such transparency demystifies the technology, empowering policyholders and strengthening confidence in insurers' tools. This shift will foster true partnerships between insurers and insureds in managing property risks.

3. 'Predict & prevent' will refine underwriting approaches

Catastrophic weather events now touch every corner of the U.S., including areas traditionally considered low risk. From wildfire-prone California to the Hail Belt in the Midwest, no region is immune.

This makes the "predict and prevent" approach increasingly critical as high-risk areas expand. With the right technology, insurers can proactively identify properties where resilience-building is necessary. For instance, in wildfire-prone regions, insurers could use AI and aerial imagery to identify overgrown vegetation and notify homeowners about clearing defensible space to reduce fire risk. Similarly, in hail-prone areas, these tools could recommend fortifying roofs to withstand severe storms.

Insurers can also use these tools to refine underwriting accuracy. Properties in high-risk regions can be assessed individually, allowing insurers to write policies for homes that meet safety thresholds while guiding others toward mitigation. By taking this proactive stance, insures can help prevent losses, protect assets, and maintain affordable coverage for policyholders.

4. Risk mitigation tools will help expand coverage in high-risk regions

Insurance carriers will leverage AI and aerial imagery to open up markets previously deemed uninsurable. This shift is already underway, with 60% of P&C insurers agreeing AI insights derived from imagery will play a critical role in making these changes possible. 

Take wildfire risk in regions like Napa, California—areas traditionally avoided by insurers due to blanket risk assessments. With this technology, insurers can move beyond generalized zip-code-level modeling and assess risk at the property level. Instead of avoiding an entire high-risk neighborhood, they can identify specific low-risk homes in that area with strong defensible space or other mitigated risks and confidently write policies for those properties.

This isn't just about mitigating risks but creating opportunities where none existed before. Expanding coverage in underserved areas builds a more resilient insurance market while serving and protecting more policyholders.

5. Partnering with regulators to advance AI adoption

Regulators will accelerate the adoption of AI models within the insurance sector, balancing the need to address property risks while ensuring these models remain accurate, explainable, and fair. As AI becomes more central to insurance rating, regulators and insurers will collaborate to establish frameworks that maintain transparency and build trust. States like Utah have already begun laying the groundwork for early AI regulatory policies, and more states are expected to follow.

These regulatory efforts are beneficial for the industry and will likely encourage insurers to adopt AI technologies tailored to regional priorities. For example, in California, insurers might leverage AI to address wildfire vulnerabilities, while in Florida, models could focus on assessing roof-aging risks. By working closely with regulators, insurers can ensure AI adoption not only enhances risk management but also strengthens public confidence in the tools and processes shaping the future of insurance.

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Risk management Wildfires Customer experience Climate change
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